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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.25vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.84+1.69vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+2.31vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.11+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01-1.65vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.03-2.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy1.22+0.92vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.07+0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland0.68+0.21vs Predicted
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11American University-0.20+1.05vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.15-2.78vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.37-4.33vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.48-1.13vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-1.46-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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3.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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4.69Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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6.64Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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4.21Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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12.05American University-0.200.0%1st Place
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9.22Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.67William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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13.87Drexel University-1.480.0%1st Place
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13.77St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 24.5% | 21.6% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Andril | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 15.0% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Winter | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Allison Blauvelt | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 29.1% | 23.2% | 7.2% |
| Mary Buhl | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Bill Parker | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Young | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 10.2% | 32.3% | 45.8% |
| Branham Talton | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 31.2% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.