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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.10+6.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.64+3.57vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+4.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.05+3.57vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.92vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.77+2.84vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.53-1.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.36+2.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.59+0.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.82-1.13vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-2.74vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-1.05vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.28vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.09-2.70vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.17-3.71vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.13-4.43vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-6.47vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.43-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.84Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.86Stanford University3.530.1%1st Place
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10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.360.0%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.26Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
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13.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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11.3Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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11.29Jacksonville University2.170.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Pennsylvania2.130.0%1st Place
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10.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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13.88Cornell University1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Justin Callahan | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Blake Behrens | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Sitzmann | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ulmer | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% |
| Chase Decker | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 22.6% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Ava Gustafson | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.