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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+7.84vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.38+7.55vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+2.48vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.03+2.55vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+4.48vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.48+2.86vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35+2.49vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.74-0.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.64-0.88vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+1.58vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.26-1.06vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.70vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.82-1.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.38vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-5.13vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.72-8.04vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.57-4.15vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.62-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.55Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.48Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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8.86Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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7.67Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.12Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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11.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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9.94Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Pennsylvania2.470.0%1st Place
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11.55Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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12.85Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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12.3Jacksonville University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| William Kulas | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% |
| tanner krygsveld | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 19.8% |
| Cole Schweda | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.