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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+7.90vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+4.81vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+7.25vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.62+8.31vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.48+3.82vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39-0.69vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.55vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.47+0.81vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.72-1.19vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.64-1.52vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.74-3.07vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.57+1.00vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.35-3.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.46vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.38-5.75vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.26-6.16vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.82-5.19vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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12.31Jacksonville University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.82Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.31Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.48Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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7.93Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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13.0Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.35College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.84Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
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11.81Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Cole Schweda | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 17.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Lamm | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Ethan Danielson | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 21.8% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| tanner krygsveld | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% |
| William Kulas | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.