← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.39+4.52vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.72+6.10vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.03+3.80vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.74+3.63vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.35+4.40vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.62+6.49vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.86vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.38+1.18vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.97vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.48-0.85vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-0.91vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-0.28vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.56vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.64-6.11vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.26-5.26vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University1.82-4.18vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College1.57-4.22vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy2.54-9.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.52Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.1Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.8Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
7.63Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
-
9.4College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
12.49Jacksonville University1.620.0%1st Place
-
8.86University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.18Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
9.15Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
-
10.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
-
11.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
-
9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
7.89Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
-
9.74Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
-
11.82Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
-
12.78Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
-
8.43U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 17.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% |
| William Kulas | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| tanner krygsveld | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 13.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 18.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.