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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.82+10.82vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+3.48vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.72+5.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+5.70vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.86vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.74+1.79vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.48+1.87vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38+1.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.97vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.54-1.09vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.90vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.03vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.03-6.46vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-2.95vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.35-5.66vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.60-3.34vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.62-4.43vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.64-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.82Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.48Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
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9.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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7.79Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.87Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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12.66Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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12.57Jacksonville University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.03Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| tanner krygsveld | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% |
| Henry Allgeier | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Kulas | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 19.8% |
| Cole Schweda | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 17.9% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.