← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan0.68+2.44vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame1.61+0.17vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.64+0.57vs Predicted
-
4Michigan Technological University0.97-0.73vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-1.07+1.14vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame-1.70+1.06vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University0.21-2.76vs Predicted
-
8Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.11vs Predicted
-
9Western Michigan University-1.85-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44University of Michigan0.6816.3%1st Place
-
2.17University of Notre Dame1.6139.6%1st Place
-
3.57Ohio State University0.6413.9%1st Place
-
3.27Michigan Technological University0.9715.2%1st Place
-
6.14Purdue University-1.072.8%1st Place
-
7.06University of Notre Dame-1.701.5%1st Place
-
4.24Marquette University0.218.8%1st Place
-
7.89Saint Mary's College-2.410.8%1st Place
-
7.22Western Michigan University-1.851.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack Homa | 16.3% | 16.1% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Timothy Hesse | 39.6% | 28.2% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Emma Hershey | 13.9% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Lucas Rodenroth | 15.2% | 19.5% | 23.4% | 18.2% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 25.1% | 24.5% | 17.8% | 5.9% |
Nolan Hammerschmidt | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 25.1% | 26.9% | 20.8% |
Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.8% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 14.5% | 22.8% | 48.8% |
William O'Haver | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 29.0% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.