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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+7.74vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+3.75vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+7.23vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.82+6.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.64vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+2.96vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.48+0.84vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.64-0.84vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.26+0.11vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.93vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.72-3.75vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.21vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.60-1.73vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-5.50vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.62-3.39vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.38-7.51vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.74-10.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.51Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.74College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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11.57Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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8.84Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.16Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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10.11Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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12.27Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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9.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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12.61Jacksonville University1.620.0%1st Place
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9.49Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.52Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.0% | 14.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| William Kulas | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% |
| Gilda Dondona | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| tanner krygsveld | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.4% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Cole Schweda | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 18.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.