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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.56vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.35+7.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.03+3.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.54+4.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+4.52vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.74+1.75vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26+2.82vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.72-0.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.73-1.25vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.60+2.79vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+0.51vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.27vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.38-3.85vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.47-5.42vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-5.10vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.51-2.98vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.82-5.22vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.48-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.72College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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7.75Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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12.79Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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11.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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13.02Jacksonville University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.78Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.7Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| tanner krygsveld | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% |
| James Brock | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 17.6% |
| William Kulas | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Hank Seum | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 21.2% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.