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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.47+8.12vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.74+5.98vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.39+2.44vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+5.70vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+1.66vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73+1.86vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+2.96vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35+1.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.60+3.58vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.48-0.85vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.72-3.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.54-3.01vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-3.58vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-2.97vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.38-5.72vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.96vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University1.51-4.06vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.82-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.98Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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5.44Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.7Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.66Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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9.33College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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12.58Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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9.15Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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12.94Jacksonville University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.52Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McAliley | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Christian Ebbin | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.0% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| James Brock | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| William Kulas | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.4% |
| Hank Seum | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 21.4% |
| Gilda Dondona | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.