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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+7.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+4.67vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.26+7.00vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.74+3.64vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.72+2.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.73+1.76vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35+2.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38+1.10vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.60+3.43vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.39-4.57vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.09vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.16vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.41vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.48-5.48vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-3.84vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.30-2.39vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-6.99vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.51-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.0Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
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7.64Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.76Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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9.1Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.43Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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5.43Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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9.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.52Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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11.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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13.61Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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12.58Jacksonville University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| tanner krygsveld | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| James Brock | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| William Kulas | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% |
| Pilar Cundey | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 25.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Hank Seum | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.