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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.74+6.10vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.72+5.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+5.73vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.26+5.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.54+2.91vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39-0.85vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.30+5.77vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.73-0.80vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.35+0.01vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.84vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.60+0.82vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.03-5.72vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.51-0.85vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-4.93vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-6.73vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-6.29vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.24Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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5.15Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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12.77Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.2Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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9.01College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.82Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.15Jacksonville University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.0%1st Place
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9.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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11.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| tanner krygsveld | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Henry Allgeier | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 23.2% |
| James Brock | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 17.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Hank Seum | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 17.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| William Kulas | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.