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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+7.62vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.72+5.85vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+6.31vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35+5.02vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.03+1.36vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.74+1.55vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.53vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.73-1.51vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.83+1.67vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.39-5.75vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.26-2.12vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.47-4.50vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.60-2.07vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-5.39vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-4.84vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.30-3.49vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.51-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.31Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.02College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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6.36Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.55Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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11.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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7.49Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
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11.67Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.25Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.88Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.93Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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11.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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13.51Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.44Jacksonville University1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.7% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ebbin | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% |
| James Brock | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Mathias Reimer | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.4% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| William Kulas | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 24.1% |
| Hank Seum | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.