← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.83+10.56vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.74+5.71vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.54+5.61vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.38+4.94vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.72+2.61vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.03+0.42vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.39-1.87vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.26+1.40vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.60+3.25vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.73-2.18vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-1.55vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.47-2.94vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston2.35-3.98vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University1.51-1.74vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-5.40vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90-4.84vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.26vs Predicted
-
18Cornell University1.30-4.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.56Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.71Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
-
8.61U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.94Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.61Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.42Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.13Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.4Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
-
12.25Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
-
7.82Brown University2.730.1%1st Place
-
9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
9.06University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
9.02College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
-
12.26Jacksonville University1.510.0%1st Place
-
9.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
-
11.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
13.24Cornell University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| Christian Ebbin | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Henry Allgeier | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.4% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% |
| James Brock | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Hank Seum | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| William Kulas | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% |
| Pilar Cundey | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.