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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+7.75vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.74+5.83vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+6.48vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+3.72vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.39-0.75vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.26+2.65vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.03-1.62vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.64-1.03vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+0.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+0.33vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.82-0.10vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.38-3.96vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.60-1.97vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.28vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.62-3.57vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.83-5.36vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-8.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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7.83Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.48College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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5.25Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.65Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.38Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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11.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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11.9Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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12.03Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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12.43Jacksonville University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.64Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Christian Ebbin | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.2% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| William Kulas | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% |
| Cole Schweda | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 16.7% |
| Mathias Reimer | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 11.2% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.