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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.54+7.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+7.87vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.74+4.81vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64+3.97vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+3.71vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.90+5.24vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.03-0.51vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.39-2.90vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.83+2.50vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.35-0.45vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.72-3.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.09vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-3.38vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.38-5.17vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.82-3.48vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.60-3.51vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-7.44vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.62-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston College2.260.0%1st Place
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7.81Tulane University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University2.640.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.900.0%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.1Stanford University3.390.2%1st Place
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11.5Yale University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.55College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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7.85Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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12.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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11.52Cornell University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.49Bowdoin College1.600.0%1st Place
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9.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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12.15Jacksonville University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Allgeier | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| tanner krygsveld | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Christian Ebbin | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Lamm | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Jackson McAliley | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| William Kulas | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mathias Reimer | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 15.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Gilda Dondona | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% |
| Lucca Antonietti | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.5% |
| Landon Cormie | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Cole Schweda | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.