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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.61+1.25vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.68+1.43vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.64+0.56vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.97-0.79vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.07+1.20vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.21-1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.70-0.06vs Predicted
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8Saint Mary's College-2.41-0.05vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-1.85-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Notre Dame1.6136.3%1st Place
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3.43University of Michigan0.6816.1%1st Place
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3.56Ohio State University0.6413.6%1st Place
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3.21Michigan Technological University0.9718.6%1st Place
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6.2Purdue University-1.072.9%1st Place
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4.25Marquette University0.219.0%1st Place
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6.94University of Notre Dame-1.702.0%1st Place
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7.95Saint Mary's College-2.410.5%1st Place
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7.22Western Michigan University-1.850.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 36.3% | 28.1% | 19.4% | 9.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 16.1% | 16.5% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 13.6% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 18.6% | 19.1% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 22.8% | 26.9% | 17.1% | 6.7% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.9% | 14.3% | 23.9% | 27.5% | 17.8% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 22.0% | 51.4% |
| William O'Haver | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 30.2% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.