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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy1.22+6.74vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.27+5.73vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+0.62vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01-1.63vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.11-0.38vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.07+1.28vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.03-4.77vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84-5.19vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.68-0.73vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-1.48+0.92vs Predicted
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14St. John's College-1.46-0.11vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.15-6.00vs Predicted
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16American University-0.20-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.73William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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4.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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3.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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6.62Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University1.070.0%1st Place
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4.23Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.81Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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13.92Drexel University-1.480.0%1st Place
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13.89St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.0Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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11.91American University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Andril | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Conway | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Don Hause III | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 22.9% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 13.1% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Winter | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Collin Leon | 14.1% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Young | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 10.7% | 32.4% | 46.9% |
| Branham Talton | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 9.7% | 33.3% | 45.1% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Allison Blauvelt | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 32.3% | 20.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.