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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+5.38vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.90+6.49vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.51+7.27vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.77+4.81vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.86+3.41vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+0.27vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.62+2.44vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.12-0.62vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.59+0.63vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.01-1.83vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.61+2.57vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-5.70vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.11-1.59vs Predicted
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141.75-5.31vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.22-3.89vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.53-2.15vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.24-5.76vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-6.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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8.49George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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10.27University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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8.81Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.44Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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7.38Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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8.17Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.57Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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8.691.750.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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13.85University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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11.24Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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11.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Peter Foley | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Skylor Sweet | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 25.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Abe Weston | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Max Sigel | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Jack Homa | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 25.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.