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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+5.35vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.62+7.75vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+5.45vs Predicted
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4Florida State University2.12+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.22+6.06vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.11+5.65vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.01+0.88vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+3.60vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-3.19vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.50+0.26vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.24+0.17vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.53+2.01vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.43-6.86vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.77-5.44vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.51-5.13vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.61-2.46vs Predicted
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17University of Miami1.86-8.41vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.70-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.75Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.37Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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7.88Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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10.26Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.17Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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14.01University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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6.14Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.56Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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9.87University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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13.54Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Rhode Island1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Peter Foley | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Abe Weston | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% |
| Jack Homa | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 27.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 22.7% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Severson | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.