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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+5.50vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.90+6.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.22+7.00vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.01+2.80vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.12+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.51+2.99vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.77+0.71vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.50+0.92vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.24+1.32vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.70-1.71vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.62-2.19vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.45-6.95vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.53-0.55vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.11-3.47vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-4.17vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.61-3.43vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.86-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.5George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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7.8Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.39Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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8.71Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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11.32Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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9.81Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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13.45University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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11.53University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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11.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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13.57Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Peter Foley | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Calvin Schmid | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Enzo Menditto | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 23.9% |
| Abe Weston | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 25.2% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.