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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.50+8.86vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.12+5.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+2.84vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.45+1.84vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.43+1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.11+5.30vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.51+2.59vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.62+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.43+4.75vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.77-1.22vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.90-2.91vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24-0.92vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.77vs Predicted
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141.75-5.63vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.01-7.48vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.61-2.81vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.22-6.07vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan0.53-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.86Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.29Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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5.84Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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6.01Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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9.59University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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9.04Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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13.75University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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8.78Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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8.09George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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11.08Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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8.371.750.1%1st Place
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7.52Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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13.19Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Scholz | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Peter Foley | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Abe Weston | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| David Webb | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 22.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| Max Sigel | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 19.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Jack Homa | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.