← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Florida State University2.12+6.23vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.45+3.97vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+2.76vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.01+3.44vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.43+0.93vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.50+3.58vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.70+1.73vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami0.43+5.47vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College1.62+0.01vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.22+0.88vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.51-1.39vs Predicted
-
12Hampton University0.61+1.25vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University1.24-2.61vs Predicted
-
14Webb Institute1.77-5.83vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-3.79vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-0.22-0.60vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University1.90-8.97vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin1.11-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.23Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
-
5.97Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
-
5.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.44Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
-
5.93Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
-
9.58Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
-
8.73University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
-
13.47University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
-
9.01Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
-
10.88University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
-
9.61University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
-
13.25Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
-
10.39Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
8.17Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
-
11.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
15.4University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
-
8.03George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
-
10.93University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Foley | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 12.0% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| David Webb | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Burt | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 16.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 4.8% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 42.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Abe Weston | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.