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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.45+4.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+3.48vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+4.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.43+1.97vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.77+3.13vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01+1.56vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.120.00vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.86-0.23vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.50+0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.11+0.67vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.62-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.70-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.51-3.54vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.02vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.61-2.54vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.22-5.57vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.22-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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7.76George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.13Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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7.56Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.0Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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8.96Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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8.52University of Rhode Island1.700.1%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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12.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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12.46Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Peter Foley | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Henry Scholz | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Abe Weston | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 3.7% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Severson | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Langdon Wallace | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 18.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 15.0% |
| Ethan Burt | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.