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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+4.38vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.45+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.86+4.86vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.01+3.33vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.62+3.62vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.50+3.46vs Predicted
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7Florida State University2.12-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.11+2.46vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43-3.03vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.90-2.43vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.77-3.65vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.51-3.82vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.22-3.56vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.61-2.41vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.38-6.32vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-0.22-2.29vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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5.63Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.86University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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7.33Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.62Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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6.92Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.57George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.35Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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9.18University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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12.59Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
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12.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 11.6% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Peter Foley | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Abe Weston | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 16.4% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 45.6% |
| Langdon Wallace | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.