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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+4.42vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.86+5.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.43+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.38+5.66vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.62+3.58vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01+1.47vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.90+0.73vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.22+2.08vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.12-1.92vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.45-4.35vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.51-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.11-2.36vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.50-4.61vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.61-2.43vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.77-7.78vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-4.12vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.22-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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5.78Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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8.58Eckerd College1.620.0%1st Place
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7.47Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.73George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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7.08Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.65Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.37University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College1.500.0%1st Place
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12.57Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.22Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Michigan-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 14.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Thress | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ethan Burt | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Peter Foley | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Abe Weston | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 4.6% |
| Henry Scholz | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Langdon Wallace | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| Jack Hammett | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.