Race 11A

1st-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Timothy Hesse 35.5% 26.9% 18.2% 10.7% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Homa 15.0% 16.7% 18.4% 19.0% 15.7% 10.1% 3.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Henrique Oliveira 4.7% 5.1% 6.0% 9.9% 13.4% 21.5% 22.5% 14.0% 2.9%
Lucas Rodenroth 17.9% 19.2% 19.4% 17.5% 14.2% 8.5% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Brian Zettlemoyer 9.7% 11.3% 12.8% 14.6% 18.6% 17.3% 11.7% 3.5% 0.5%
Emma Hershey 12.7% 15.3% 17.8% 18.9% 17.6% 11.5% 5.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Henrik Stjernfeldt 2.5% 3.2% 4.5% 5.1% 8.5% 15.8% 26.7% 24.1% 9.7%
Emmalyn Holmquist 0.7% 0.8% 1.5% 1.2% 2.3% 4.3% 9.6% 23.4% 56.1%
William O'Haver 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 2.9% 4.0% 8.9% 17.4% 31.9% 30.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.