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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.43+4.71vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.01+5.32vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+4.79vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.77+4.32vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.12+1.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.86+0.93vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51+1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.53+3.07vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.11-0.26vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.50-2.50vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.45-7.13vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.62-5.00vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.22-5.58vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.38-7.12vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.61-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.32Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.32Webb Institute1.770.1%1st Place
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6.76Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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9.16University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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13.07University of Michigan0.530.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Wisconsin1.110.0%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College1.500.1%1st Place
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5.87Georgetown University2.450.1%1st Place
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9.0Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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13.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Rhode Island1.380.0%1st Place
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12.67Hampton University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Mueller | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Peter Foley | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Steven Hardee | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% |
| Jack Homa | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 23.7% |
| Abe Weston | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Henry Scholz | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Enzo Menditto | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Langdon Wallace | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 24.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.