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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.75+6.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.21+4.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+4.75vs Predicted
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4University of Miami1.68+3.83vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.27+4.52vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.56+2.42vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.42+5.80vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.53+0.46vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39+0.08vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.64-1.64vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.23-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.13-1.54vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.54-4.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-1.65vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.08-4.74vs Predicted
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16Hampton University-0.04-1.55vs Predicted
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17-0.26-1.96vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.79-13.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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6.14Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.75University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Miami1.680.1%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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8.42University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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12.8Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Michigan1.530.0%1st Place
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9.08George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.36Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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9.84Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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8.33Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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12.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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10.26Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.45Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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15.04-0.260.0%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Grupenhoff | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Pearse Dowd | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| William Stratton | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Efe Guder | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 11.3% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| William Hurd | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Ivet Bejar | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 17.7% | 27.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 19.1% | 36.4% |
| Peter Herlihy | 19.5% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.