← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.39+8.35vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.79+2.21vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.27+6.81vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.56+4.28vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.75+2.61vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami1.68+1.99vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College1.23+2.73vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.53+0.45vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.21-3.08vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-2.18vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.13-0.75vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.08-1.37vs Predicted
-
13Eckerd College1.64-5.09vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University-0.04+0.02vs Predicted
-
15Webb Institute1.54-6.56vs Predicted
-
16Florida State University0.42-3.05vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-4.20vs Predicted
-
18-0.26-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.35George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.21Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
-
9.81Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.28University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
-
7.61University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
-
7.99University of Miami1.680.1%1st Place
-
9.73Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
-
8.45University of Michigan1.530.1%1st Place
-
5.92Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
-
7.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
-
10.25University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
-
10.63Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
-
7.91Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
-
14.02Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
-
8.44Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
-
12.95Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
12.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
-
14.83-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Peter Herlihy | 16.5% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Efe Guder | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| William Stratton | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| William Hurd | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Pearse Dowd | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Ivet Bejar | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 17.0% | 25.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.6% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 34.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.