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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.39+8.30vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.79+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.75+4.91vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.54+4.37vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.08+5.21vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.64+2.13vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.27+2.60vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.13+2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.53-0.49vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.56-1.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.21-4.88vs Predicted
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12Hampton University-0.04+2.57vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-5.54vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.42-1.46vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.68-7.11vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.23-6.11vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-4.21vs Predicted
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18-0.26-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3George Washington University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.21Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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8.37Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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10.21Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.13Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Michigan1.530.1%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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14.57Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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7.46University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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12.54Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Miami1.680.1%1st Place
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9.89Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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12.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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14.77-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Peter Herlihy | 16.4% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Efe Guder | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Pearse Dowd | 10.5% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ivet Bejar | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 30.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% |
| William Stratton | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Hurd | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 10.8% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.6% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 19.2% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.