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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.56+7.62vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.68+6.10vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.64+5.25vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.53+4.40vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.75+2.64vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39+3.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.21-1.06vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.54+0.42vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.08+1.30vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.13+0.37vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.27-1.25vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.79-7.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-5.56vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.23-4.54vs Predicted
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15Hampton University-0.04-0.68vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.26vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.42-4.02vs Predicted
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18-0.26-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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8.1University of Miami1.680.1%1st Place
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8.25Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Michigan1.530.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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9.05George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.94Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
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8.42Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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10.3Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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7.44University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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14.32Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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12.98Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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14.81-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Efe Guder | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| William Stratton | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Vieira | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Pearse Dowd | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Peter Herlihy | 18.7% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Hurd | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Ivet Bejar | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 25.6% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 12.6% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.