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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.03+3.25vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.27+6.60vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.49vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.84+0.73vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.11+1.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy1.22+2.94vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.07+2.23vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01-4.72vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-6.64vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.68-0.80vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.15-2.75vs Predicted
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14Drexel University-1.48-0.10vs Predicted
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15American University-0.20-2.99vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-1.46-2.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Old Dominion University3.030.2%1st Place
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8.6William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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4.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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4.73Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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6.6Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.23Fordham University1.070.0%1st Place
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6.38Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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3.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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10.2University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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9.25Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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13.9Drexel University-1.480.0%1st Place
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12.01American University-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.79St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Leon | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Don Hause III | 12.7% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 12.8% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Winter | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| John Andril | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 13.5% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 21.2% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 1.8% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 8.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Young | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 32.8% | 45.6% |
| Allison Blauvelt | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 30.4% | 20.1% | 7.5% |
| Branham Talton | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 11.5% | 31.6% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.