← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame1.61+1.21vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University0.97+1.26vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan0.68+0.64vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University0.21+0.43vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-1.07+1.43vs Predicted
-
6University of Notre Dame-0.51-0.29vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University0.64-3.21vs Predicted
-
8Saint Mary's College-2.41+0.03vs Predicted
-
9Western Michigan University-1.85-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.21University of Notre Dame1.6139.0%1st Place
-
3.26Michigan Technological University0.9716.8%1st Place
-
3.64University of Michigan0.6814.1%1st Place
-
4.43Marquette University0.218.6%1st Place
-
6.43Purdue University-1.072.2%1st Place
-
5.71University of Notre Dame-0.513.7%1st Place
-
3.79Ohio State University0.6413.6%1st Place
-
8.03Saint Mary's College-2.410.9%1st Place
-
7.49Western Michigan University-1.851.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 39.0% | 26.4% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 16.8% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 17.4% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Homa | 14.1% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 29.0% | 23.8% | 8.0% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 22.6% | 21.8% | 13.7% | 4.0% |
| Emma Hershey | 13.6% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.9% | 21.4% | 56.2% |
| William O'Haver | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 14.9% | 35.0% | 30.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.