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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.68+7.05vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.56+6.52vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.23+6.87vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.79+0.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.39+3.92vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75+1.56vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.74+0.59vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.64-0.10vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-1.59vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.53-1.33vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.08-0.61vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.54-3.33vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.42-0.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-1.74vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.27-5.66vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.13-5.96vs Predicted
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17-0.26-2.03vs Predicted
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18Hampton University-0.04-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05University of Miami1.680.1%1st Place
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8.52University of South Florida1.560.0%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
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4.02Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
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8.92George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.56University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.9Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Michigan1.530.1%1st Place
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10.39Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.67Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
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12.66Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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12.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
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9.34Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
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14.97-0.260.0%1st Place
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14.17Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Stratton | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Efe Guder | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| William Hurd | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Peter Herlihy | 20.8% | 19.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.3% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 9.9% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 17.6% | 37.1% |
| Ivet Bejar | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.