← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.56+7.57vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.21+4.03vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.79+1.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Miami1.68+3.83vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University0.97+5.61vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.32+3.45vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan1.53+1.55vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont1.13+2.02vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.23+0.72vs Predicted
-
10Webb Institute1.54-1.25vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-3.31vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.39-2.58vs Predicted
-
13-0.26+1.76vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College1.64-6.14vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.75-7.42vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.29vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University-0.04-2.50vs Predicted
-
18Florida State University0.42-5.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.57University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
-
6.03Tufts University2.210.1%1st Place
-
4.22Georgetown University2.790.2%1st Place
-
7.83University of Miami1.680.1%1st Place
-
10.61Fordham University0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.45Old Dominion University1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of Michigan1.530.1%1st Place
-
10.02University of Vermont1.130.0%1st Place
-
9.72Connecticut College1.230.0%1st Place
-
8.75Webb Institute1.540.1%1st Place
-
7.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
-
9.42George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
14.76-0.260.0%1st Place
-
7.86Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
-
7.58University of Rhode Island1.750.1%1st Place
-
12.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
-
14.5Hampton University-0.040.0%1st Place
-
12.71Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Efe Guder | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Pearse Dowd | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Herlihy | 17.8% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Stratton | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Erickson Rankin | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Pierce Brindley | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Lorenzo Puertas | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| William Hurd | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Nigel Yu | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 34.8% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Keith Grupenhoff | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Marsh | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% |
| Ivet Bejar | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 19.9% | 28.6% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.