← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Western Washington University1.58-0.41vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.85-0.86vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-1.33+0.35vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-1.01-0.99vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington-0.48-2.48vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-2.40-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.59Western Washington University1.580.6%1st Place
-
2.14Western Washington University0.850.3%1st Place
-
4.35University of Oregon-1.330.0%1st Place
-
4.01University of Oregon-1.010.0%1st Place
-
3.52University of Washington-0.480.1%1st Place
-
5.41University of Oregon-2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 57.2% | 29.9% | 10.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Adam Turloff | 28.7% | 40.9% | 20.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Welch | 3.7% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 25.8% | 33.8% | 18.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 3.3% | 8.3% | 21.8% | 27.3% | 29.7% | 9.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.3% | 13.3% | 30.6% | 27.1% | 17.6% | 5.1% |
| Siena Beckett | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.