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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.61+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.68+1.11vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.97-0.23vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.21-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-0.51-0.38vs Predicted
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6Saint Mary's College-2.41+0.52vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-1.07-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Notre Dame1.6141.9%1st Place
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3.11University of Michigan0.6816.4%1st Place
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2.77Michigan Technological University0.9721.9%1st Place
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3.74Marquette University0.2110.7%1st Place
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4.62University of Notre Dame-0.515.5%1st Place
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6.52Saint Mary's College-2.410.7%1st Place
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5.24Purdue University-1.072.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Hesse | 41.9% | 29.2% | 19.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Homa | 16.4% | 20.1% | 23.4% | 22.4% | 13.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 21.9% | 24.5% | 23.9% | 17.4% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 10.7% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 24.4% | 22.1% | 10.6% | 2.0% |
| Henrique Oliveira | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 26.6% | 26.8% | 7.2% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 14.5% | 74.1% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 20.3% | 40.8% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.