← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+3.57vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University2.11+4.47vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia3.01+1.27vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.72vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.03-0.61vs Predicted
-
6Washington College2.84-1.29vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy1.22+1.78vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.20-1.72vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University1.15+0.05vs Predicted
-
10University of Maryland0.68+0.24vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary1.27-2.22vs Predicted
-
12American University-0.20+0.13vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.07-3.58vs Predicted
-
15St. John's College-1.46-1.16vs Predicted
-
16Drexel University-1.48-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.57St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
-
6.47Hampton University2.110.1%1st Place
-
4.27University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
-
3.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
-
4.39Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
-
4.71Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
-
8.78U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
6.28Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
-
9.05Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.24University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
-
8.78William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
-
12.13American University-0.200.0%1st Place
-
9.42Fordham University1.070.0%1st Place
-
13.84St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
-
13.81Drexel University-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Hause III | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 14.8% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 23.3% | 20.7% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 14.1% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| John Andril | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 15.6% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Allison Blauvelt | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 32.0% | 22.0% | 6.9% |
| Matthew Winter | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Branham Talton | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 11.7% | 31.3% | 44.9% |
| Andrew Young | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 10.2% | 31.5% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.