← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University-1.26+2.56vs Predicted
-
2University of Oregon-1.01+1.24vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-1.85+1.62vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University-0.60-1.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon-2.42+0.50vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-2.19-0.88vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington-1.12-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.56Western Washington University-1.260.2%1st Place
-
3.24University of Oregon-1.010.2%1st Place
-
4.62Western Washington University-1.850.1%1st Place
-
2.66Western Washington University-0.600.3%1st Place
-
5.5University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
-
5.12University of Oregon-2.190.1%1st Place
-
3.29University of Washington-1.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Beeson | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 5.4% |
| Reese Lieser | 17.9% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 2.9% |
| Faith Burton | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 19.6% | 21.5% | 17.8% |
| Ocean Smith | 28.2% | 26.0% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 40.3% |
| Euseekers Williams | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 22.9% | 29.6% |
| Kairo Zimmerman-Goad | 19.9% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.