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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University-0.44+1.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.38+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut-0.80+0.50vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.03-1.64vs Predicted
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5Williams College-1.49-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96McGill University-0.4417.3%1st Place
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2.1Brown University0.3837.9%1st Place
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3.5University of Connecticut-0.8010.8%1st Place
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2.36Middlebury College0.0327.8%1st Place
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4.07Williams College-1.496.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eben Dooling | 17.3% | 19.7% | 25.2% | 25.1% | 12.7% |
| Charles Case | 37.9% | 28.4% | 21.6% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Treat | 10.8% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 30.0% | 28.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 27.8% | 29.8% | 25.1% | 12.7% | 4.6% |
| Caleb Kohn | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 22.8% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.