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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.87+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.86+1.75vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.04+2.62vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.48-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis1.68-2.00vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.02+0.44vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.44-1.37vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.19-1.67vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.19-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.92-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Stanford University2.900.3%1st Place
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4.51University of California at Santa Cruz1.870.1%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Berkeley1.860.1%1st Place
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6.62Santa Clara University1.040.0%1st Place
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3.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.480.2%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Davis1.680.1%1st Place
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8.44California State University Monterey Bay0.020.0%1st Place
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7.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.440.0%1st Place
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8.33California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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6.53University of California at Davis0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Pedrick | 30.7% | 24.0% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mickail Murawski | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Dan Sundberg | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Wyman | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Francesca Delle Cese | 22.0% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Lee | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Fournier | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 27.7% |
| Anthony Absy | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 15.1% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 16.5% | 20.3% | 23.2% |
| Kenton Stutz | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 21.9% |
| Brittany Hirsch | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.