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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+8.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+8.41vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+5.83vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+3.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95+5.67vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.86+5.17vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50+1.41vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.78-0.86vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.38-0.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.50vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.45-2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.90-0.58vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.65-5.30vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.90-3.35vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.33-5.92vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.29-6.58vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.34-3.57vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.39-9.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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10.41Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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8.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.14College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.8Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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11.42University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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10.65Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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9.42University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Genoa Warner | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Megan Magill | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% |
| Shannon Heausler | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% |
| Margaret Tautz | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 27.3% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.