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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.10+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.07+0.98vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-2.22+3.57vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.53-0.33vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.08-0.47vs Predicted
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6Saint Mary's College-2.73+1.36vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.57-3.30vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.06-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.70-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Michigan0.1027.8%1st Place
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2.98University of Notre Dame-0.0722.4%1st Place
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6.57Western Michigan University-2.222.9%1st Place
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3.67Ohio State University-0.5314.8%1st Place
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4.53Michigan Technological University-1.089.1%1st Place
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7.36Saint Mary's College-2.732.2%1st Place
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3.7Purdue University-0.5716.3%1st Place
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6.3Marquette University-2.062.6%1st Place
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7.21University of Notre Dame-2.701.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 27.8% | 24.9% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 22.4% | 22.7% | 20.4% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Prugh | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 22.6% | 17.6% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.8% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 25.4% | 35.9% |
| Gavin Holmes | 16.3% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Stella Brown | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 23.1% | 20.1% | 12.0% |
| Andoni Christou | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.