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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-1.01+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.12+1.40vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.60-0.36vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.26-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.42+0.47vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.85-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.19-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of Oregon-1.010.2%1st Place
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3.4University of Washington-1.120.2%1st Place
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2.64Western Washington University-0.600.3%1st Place
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3.69Western Washington University-1.260.1%1st Place
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5.47University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.59Western Washington University-1.850.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Oregon-2.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Lieser | 21.7% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Kairo Zimmerman-Goad | 17.0% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Ocean Smith | 27.7% | 25.9% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Jack Beeson | 14.9% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 11.6% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 21.1% | 40.3% |
| Faith Burton | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 18.5% |
| Euseekers Williams | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 24.3% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.