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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.49+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-0.34+1.85vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.53+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.73+0.52vs Predicted
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5Embry-Riddle University-0.41-0.92vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.53-3.37vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Jacksonville University0.490.3%1st Place
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3.85University of South Carolina-0.340.1%1st Place
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4.23Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.52University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.08Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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2.63Jacksonville University0.530.3%1st Place
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6.06University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles McGucken | 29.6% | 24.6% | 18.6% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Henry Elmore | 11.7% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 5.7% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 9.7% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 8.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 23.6% | 13.5% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 9.7% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 7.9% |
| Joshua Knowles | 28.9% | 25.0% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Abbi Barnette | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.