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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.49+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-0.34+1.67vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.53-0.51vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-0.73+0.25vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.53-0.88vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-0.41-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Jacksonville University0.490.3%1st Place
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3.67University of South Carolina-0.340.1%1st Place
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2.49Jacksonville University0.530.3%1st Place
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4.25University of South Carolina-0.730.1%1st Place
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4.12Florida Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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3.87Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles McGucken | 27.6% | 26.3% | 21.1% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Henry Elmore | 12.8% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 22.3% | 15.1% |
| Joshua Knowles | 30.8% | 25.0% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 9.1% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 31.6% |
| Sofia Scarpa | 8.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 20.3% | 26.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 11.3% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 22.7% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.