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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.10+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.07+0.90vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.57+0.77vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-2.73+3.30vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-1.08-0.36vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.53-2.37vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.06-0.64vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.22-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.70-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Michigan0.1027.7%1st Place
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2.9University of Notre Dame-0.0723.2%1st Place
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3.77Purdue University-0.5714.9%1st Place
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7.3Saint Mary's College-2.731.7%1st Place
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4.64Michigan Technological University-1.088.0%1st Place
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3.63Ohio State University-0.5316.5%1st Place
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6.36Marquette University-2.063.4%1st Place
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6.5Western Michigan University-2.222.5%1st Place
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7.22University of Notre Dame-2.702.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Sherman | 27.7% | 25.3% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Opferman | 23.2% | 23.1% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Holmes | 14.9% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 20.7% | 36.2% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Michael Mignogna | 16.5% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Stella Brown | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 13.3% |
| Caleb Prugh | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 21.6% | 16.4% |
| Andoni Christou | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 15.8% | 26.1% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.