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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.48vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Davis-1.89+5.98vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University-1.98+5.13vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.48-2.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.72+4.34vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.76+1.55vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-0.19-2.34vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.13-3.51vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.20-5.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.71-4.18vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-2.39-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.3%1st Place
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2.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.2%1st Place
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8.98University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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9.13Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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2.88University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
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8.55Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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5.66San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.49Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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6.82University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.86California State University Channel Islands-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 30.8% | 26.8% | 20.4% | 13.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 22.7% | 22.6% | 21.7% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 11.4% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 11.9% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 23.6% | 23.6% | 20.5% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 41.6% |
| Luke Sadalla | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Gwennie Alldritt | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.