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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.13+4.55vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.45vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.20+1.92vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.48-2.14vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-0.19-0.31vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.76+1.57vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University-1.98+1.08vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.39+0.81vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-1.89-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.71-4.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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2.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.3%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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2.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.2%1st Place
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2.86University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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5.69San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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8.57Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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9.08Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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9.81California State University Channel Islands-2.390.0%1st Place
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8.88University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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6.83University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.39University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Blakemore | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 30.7% | 28.9% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 7.0% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 22.9% | 22.2% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 24.3% | 22.3% | 23.0% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Sadalla | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 8.7% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 19.8% | 13.6% |
| Gwennie Alldritt | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 23.0% | 24.8% |
| Luke Melvin | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 11.1% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.