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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.20+2.90vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.13+2.55vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.19+1.70vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-2.08vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.48-3.17vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.89+1.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.72+2.28vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.71-2.40vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University-1.98-0.91vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.76-2.13vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands-2.39-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.3%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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5.55Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
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5.7San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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2.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.2%1st Place
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2.83University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
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6.6University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.09Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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8.87Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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9.93California State University Channel Islands-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 32.6% | 24.0% | 21.2% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Headington | 22.2% | 24.8% | 20.9% | 14.8% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 23.8% | 24.1% | 21.5% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 19.6% | 16.9% | 10.7% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 40.3% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 12.6% |
| Luke Sadalla | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 9.6% |
| Gwennie Alldritt | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.