← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley0.20+3.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.48+0.82vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.55vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University-0.19+1.69vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.13+0.54vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-1.76+2.74vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.71-0.40vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-5.07vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-1.89-0.08vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands-2.39-0.20vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-0.56vs Predicted
-
12Santa Clara University-1.98-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.96University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
-
2.82University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
-
2.45California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.3%1st Place
-
5.69San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
5.54Western Washington University-0.130.1%1st Place
-
8.74Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
-
6.6University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
-
2.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.2%1st Place
-
8.92University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
-
9.8California State University Channel Islands-2.390.0%1st Place
-
10.44University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.12Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilton Lawton | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 22.7% | 25.0% | 22.8% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 31.4% | 26.7% | 21.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 5.2% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Luke Sadalla | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 7.9% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Headington | 24.2% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 10.3% |
| Gwennie Alldritt | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 18.6% | 21.9% | 25.4% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 43.4% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.