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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-0.07+1.56vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.57+1.33vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.53+0.25vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.08+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-1.71+0.34vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.06+0.02vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-2.73+0.14vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-2.22-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.60-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Notre Dame-0.0731.1%1st Place
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3.33Purdue University-0.5717.7%1st Place
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3.25Ohio State University-0.5319.9%1st Place
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4.17Michigan Technological University-1.0811.3%1st Place
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5.34University of Michigan-1.717.0%1st Place
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6.02Marquette University-2.064.3%1st Place
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7.14Saint Mary's College-2.731.9%1st Place
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6.31Western Michigan University-2.223.5%1st Place
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6.87University of Notre Dame-2.603.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Opferman | 31.1% | 24.9% | 19.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Holmes | 17.7% | 20.8% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Michael Mignogna | 19.9% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Sorbie | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 6.2% |
| Stella Brown | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 12.1% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 35.2% |
| Caleb Prugh | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 15.3% |
| John Manning | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 21.2% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.