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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.03+3.28vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+2.50vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.84+1.74vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.11+2.55vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.27+3.73vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01-1.66vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.07+2.19vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.20-1.65vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-5.73vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.15-0.87vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy1.22-2.13vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.68-2.63vs Predicted
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14American University-0.20-1.91vs Predicted
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15Drexel University-1.48-1.15vs Predicted
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16St. John's College-1.46-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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4.74Washington College2.840.1%1st Place
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6.55Hampton University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.73William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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4.34University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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9.19Fordham University1.070.0%1st Place
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6.35Georgetown University2.200.1%1st Place
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3.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.2%1st Place
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9.13Christopher Newport University1.150.0%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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12.09American University-0.200.0%1st Place
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13.85Drexel University-1.480.0%1st Place
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13.75St. John's College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Leon | 14.5% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 12.7% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Giuditta Di Laghi | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Conway | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 12.7% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Winter | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| John Andril | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 23.9% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Buhl | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Allison Blauvelt | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 29.7% | 22.1% | 8.3% |
| Andrew Young | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 10.9% | 30.6% | 45.9% |
| Branham Talton | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 12.0% | 30.2% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.