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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+1.90vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.43vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-0.19+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48-1.23vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.71+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.89+1.12vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.13-2.76vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University-1.98-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.2%1st Place
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2.43California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.3%1st Place
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5.43San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
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2.77University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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6.23University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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5.24Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.2Santa Clara University-1.980.0%1st Place
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9.03University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Headington | 22.3% | 24.5% | 20.9% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 31.9% | 26.2% | 21.1% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 19.9% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 23.5% | 25.0% | 20.8% | 18.4% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 24.8% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 2.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 12.3% | 24.5% | 29.5% | 19.8% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 19.7% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 21.9% | 32.4% | 22.0% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 20.7% | 55.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.